Charlie Cook Politics
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Remembering Alan Greenspan and Glen Bolger
Plus: New Senate polling in critical Ohio, Maine.
Jul 2
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Charlie Cook
10
1
June 2026
Democrats still need the majority of toss-ups to go their way
The party currently has 205 solid, likely, and lean seats in its column. The GOP has 212—closer to the magic number of 218.
Jun 23
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Charlie Cook
24
6
For Republicans, is it about the environment or the exposure?
There aren't many low-lying political areas left that can get swallowed up in a political storm.
Jun 20
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Charlie Cook
25
5
Ohio poll could portend trouble for Republicans
Head-to-head matchups and favorability ratings are all trending in the wrong direction for the GOP.
Jun 11
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Charlie Cook
389
64
The Paxton-Platner connection
Did their respective parties nominate the wrong guys?
Jun 4
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Charlie Cook
26
2
May 2026
Where are the Republicans who might vote for a Democrat?
A big win for Democrats will require GOP defections. And those are likely to be in short supply.
May 22
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Charlie Cook
70
11
Underneath the weirdness, this midterm is playing to type
Don't fall for talk of vibes and waves.
May 14
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Charlie Cook
35
2
Have Republicans already bottomed out?
Given how many voters are locked into partisan lanes, there may not be that many more votes for the GOP to lose.
May 7
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Charlie Cook
46
7
Why American politics could benefit from a landslide
Because the parties are so fully sorted and evenly divided, voters rarely give them an unambiguous message about what they want. So they get gridlock…
May 1
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Charlie Cook
68
12
April 2026
Party defections are mostly a thing of the past
Federal candidates can typically rely on 90+ percent support from their party's base.
Apr 24
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Charlie Cook
16
1
For all their troubles, Republicans won't suffer from exposure
Democrats already have a sizable share of the House; there are only so many vulnerable Republican seats for them to pick off.
Apr 16
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Charlie Cook
21
7
Why you shouldn't overread the drop in Trump's approvals
He's lost about all the support he can lose without shedding his core Republican supporters—and that's unlikely.
Apr 10
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Charlie Cook
41
6
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