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What the Democrats' autopsy should have focused on
The seeds of defeat weren't sown in 2024, but rather in 2021, when Biden and his party grossly overread their mandate.
 • Charlie Cook
The separate political realities of red, blue, and purple America
Up and down the ballots, the numbers don't lie. But keep an eye out for New Hampshire to join the purple ranks.
 • Charlie Cook
These numbers from Tennessee reveal Republicans' predicament
It was always unrealistic that Democrat Aftyn Behn could pull off the upset in the Tennessee-07 race. But looking under the hood, the GOP's enthusiasm…
 • Charlie Cook
Election Day 2026 will be an Independents' Day
The new Gallup poll underscores the president's precarious position with swing voters.
 • Charlie Cook

November 2025

Prevailing winds may not prevail in red states
The president's numbers are abysmal among Democrats and independents; but they remain strong among Republicans, making Democrats' task extra tough in…
 • Charlie Cook
The emotional swings of Democrats
Things aren't as bleak as they seemed a year ago. They're also not as rosy as the off-year elections made them out to be.
 • Charlie Cook
Democrats could take the wrong lessons from Mamdani
His politics might have played to a bare majority in New York City. But they won't play nationally.
 • Charlie Cook
An early-warning system for the political winds
Look to these 10 questions Tuesday night to see if the political winds are calm, or if they may blow Republicans out of office next year.
 • Charlie Cook
The Morning After
Election Day 2025
 • Charlie Cook

October 2025

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